黑料正能量

Decoding The Data: Contingency Tables鈥擯art 2

April 16, 2026

Scott Sherrill-Mix, Ph.D., continues his presentation on how to interpret contingency tables when evaluating diagnostic tests and associated measures of test accuracy using a real figure example.

Video Notes

Scott Sherrill-Mix, Ph.D., continues his discussion on contingency tables and covers the following topics:

  • How to calculate PPV when taking a test from 1 population and applying it to another population.
  • Common pitfalls that lead to misleading results when applied to low鈥憄revalence populations.
  • How Bayes' rule explains these effects and allows adjustment of PPV/NPV across populations.

Key Takeaways

  • Positive predictive values depend on the population you are testing.
  • True positives vs false positives and how to calculate them.
  • Be careful with calculating positive predictive values and negative predictive values, as the value calculated depends on the prevalence of the disease in the population. It will differ between a screening test and a targeted test.
  • Before acting on a test result, always ask:
    • What is the prevalence of disease in this patient population?
    • Am I interpreting sensitivity/specificity or PPV/NPV?
    • Has the test been validated in a population like mine?

Before watching the video above, please watch part 1 of this video series where Sherrill-Mix discusses how contingency tables are structured and how to calculate and interpret sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value.

Author Information

Scott Sherrill-Mix, Ph.D., Assistant Professor, Department of Microbiology, Genetics and Immunology, Michigan State University.


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Author: 黑料正能量Professional Development Subcommittee

黑料正能量Professional Development Subcommittee
ASM's Professional Development Subcommittee (PDS) develops and delivers professional development content for the clinical and public health microbiology audience.